Since the mid-sixties the number of transistors that integrated circuits can replace has doubled every two years. Gordon Moore (one of Intel's founders) stated that and it was dubbed Moore's law. Now they have kind of perverted the original meaning to refer to other capabilities new technological device improvements (particularly processors) may have.
Some data points which roughly follow Moore's law fairly accurately:
1978 - Intel 8086 - about 24,000 transistors
1990 - Intel 4086 processor - about a million plus transistors
2007 - Intel Itanium plus dual core - about 1000 million or a billion transistors
Now if only something like Moore's Law were to apply to Internet bandwidth.
This is one of the hot topics in our federal election and also rated a mention in a recent conference. Businesses today want more internet bandwidth to get effective video conferencing. They see this as a way to save money on air fares and reduce their carbon footprint. And yet over 10 years ago I was running very good video conferencing over ISDN to anywhere on the planet that had ISDN. It cost but compared to airfares it was peanuts.
This is one of the hot topics in our federal election and also rated a mention in a recent conference. Businesses today want more internet bandwidth to get effective video conferencing. They see this as a way to save money on air fares and reduce their carbon footprint. And yet over 10 years ago I was running very good video conferencing over ISDN to anywhere on the planet that had ISDN. It cost but compared to airfares it was peanuts.
that's because you understand the tech & live with it's limitations. they want full HD 1080p for everybody on HD LCD 32" screens. If the phone was just invented they'd want phones that can link them up between offices in difference cities & be as clear as being in the room. :)
EDIT: intel should put AMD & RISC chips on there to for comparison. That would prove moore's law only applies to self-contained systems. AMD could have less transistors, work faster & break the law with intel but keep it working in their own CPU's.
EDIT AGAIN: did some 'net searches. Intel's P4 D 820 has 169m transistors while AMD X2 3800 had 154m. Both bottom of the barrel duel core & the X2 blew the 820 out of the water on speed (but not on price). Throw in the Core 2's vs comparable X2's & the opposite happens: AMD keeps getting higher transistor counts & Intel dropped greatly.
That intel graph is WAY off. It actually has more dips in there then they're showing. They pretty much bypassed all non-server CPU's after the P4 to show a point. Moore's law doesn't work by intel's actual product lineup.