This page is full of errors.
Technology will allow us to do things - this does not mean they will be useful.
We could all have cars running at 300 mph with a 150 years credit for many of us, but what for ?
Sound chapter made me laugh : a virtual microphone giving a better sound than a wired one.
yes, we can focus on a point somewhere, but using filters to remove a sound behind you will make the sound you want at 10 meters not as good as it could be ...
4k for everyone, 8K ? today is 2014, 6 years (2020) is not enough, and like my car comparison, except on wide screens, not really needed.
AH, you will not be able to become chairman of your enterprise, because of all videos and emails you sent years ago, will be used by the NSA in 2020 against you as they will prefer someone less subversive...
Not sure every one will want to share everything in 2020...
People are lazy, Tv broadcasting will not disappear in 2020 just because searching takes time.
2020 ? probably some studies will tell us if Wifi is dangerous or not for health. If it is, we shall probably use it only if needed, and prefer cable connections for safety.
We cannot tell what futur will be! and that is probably better.
Somebody bookmark/make a copy of that article.
Will be great for a laugh.
Remember what 2015 looked like in Back to the Future 2 ??
2014 is going to be busy.... flying cars that run on rubbish, video phones in every house, rehydratable pizza (my personal fave), not to mention.... Hover boards!!!!
O and im pretty sure there was a scene where Marty used Vegas with GPU working.
Couldnt resist :)
>Have the people who write such statements ever actually used touch screen devices? Ever? I would find it difficult to believe that the have.
Kelly, your statement is certainly true because touch devices are still in their infancy. But I believe touch and NLE's will evolve enough in the next six years that it will become the preferred editing technology. At any rate, I enjoy thinking about what might be. Here are some of my thoughts about how touch NLE's might become commonplace:
- the mouse will begin to feel unnatural compared to touch, as touch technology and applications evolve. Sort of analogous to how Wacom tablets have displaced the mouse for many of the more serious photoshop editors. I envision NLE's designed for large (e.g., 22 inch) high resolution tablets.
- dual monitors won't be necessary with large touch tablets with tools that can be easily and quickly manipulated by gestures.
- we will still need an external monitor for preview.
- the keyboard will be a greater challenge in a touch environment. I think most will still prefer a physical keyboard.
Here are how I imagine some Vegas touch use cases:
- Zoom timeline - pinch gesture on the timeline.
- Split an event - swipe timeline left/right to position, zoom as above, touch split point, press S on keyboard.
- Fade the end of an event - the tiny fade icon that is sometimes difficult to enable even with a mouse will give way to a pallet of applicable tools that will popup when you touch the end of an event, or perhaps perform the gesture equivalent of a right click. From the pallet, touch the fade tool and drag left or right to specify the amount of fade.
- Use tools from tabbed window(s) - organize like tools in panels like we do now with tabbed dialogs. Each panel would function similar to iPhone's picture roll - swipe left/right and touch to select the desired tool similar to selecting a photo to view.
- Use controllers like ShuttlePro - these can be easily virtualized in the touch environment.
Kelly, I'm curious - what NLE operation would you see as most challenging to implement in a touch environment?
Who's talking about NLE? I'm referring to the blanket statement that "keyboards and mice" will be gone. I don't see that happening for at least another lifetime.
However, *anything* typed that is more than a few words, such as titles, credits, file names, etc. will always be faster and easier on a real mechanical keyboard. There will always be a sufficiently large segment of the population who will want a real keyboard even for these tiny typing tasks. Then there's the even larger segment of the population who actually, well, type things now and then, like letters, emails, homework, recipes, messages, research, resumes ... etc.
As far as mice going away, the problem with touch screens is that they keep getting bigger, and that requires arm movements that extend across the entire larger and larger screen. This gets *very* tiresome very quickly. It's a lot faster, easier, and less tiresome to move a mouse around a 6x9" area on the desk than to lift and hold your arms up while moving around a 14x20" screen.
"- Split an event - swipe timeline left/right to position, zoom as above, touch split point, press S on keyboard."
If you have to enter keyboard commands on a touch interface, that's not a good design. More like touch and hold at the split point, and select contextually what should be done. Maybe hold your finger at the split point and tap 2 other fingers to split would be faster than a select menu.
I think there will be touch editing in the future, but the screens will need to be bigger, and the weight reduced. Plus they will need some type of anti-potato chip grease coating. :)
>If you have to enter keyboard commands on a touch interface, that's not a good design.
astar, you may be right on this. You are definitely right about the anti-potato chip coating ;-). I'm drawing on my experience with the Wacom tablet and Photoshop where there is still a lot of use of the keyboard. Of course, the Wacom doesn't really have gestures per se, so the keyboard is essentially required. I think power NLE users may still want the keyboard option, only because there is already such an investment in learning the keyboard shortcuts. Over time, gestures should replace these, starting with the Windows ones that are common across most apps (e.g., ctrl-s, ctrl-c, ctrl-v, etc.).
As far as mice going away, the problem with touch screens is that they keep getting bigger, and that requires arm movements that extend across the entire larger and larger screen. This gets *very* tiresome very quickly.
As far as mice going away, the problem with touch screens is that they keep getting bigger, and that requires arm movements that extend across the entire larger and larger screen. This gets *very* tiresome very quickly. It's a lot faster, easier, and less tiresome to move a mouse around a 6x9" area on the desk than to lift and hold your arms up while moving around a 14x20" screen.
+1. Very true, and I was only making this point recently. My wife has a large all-in-one touchscreen 'puter and she tires of it very quickly. They might be OK for tablets, but don't upscale well.
With a mouse I can move around my 27' monitor by moving my right hand a couple of inches either way while my hand rests on the desk. A touch of my index finger for left button selection, a touch of my middle finger for right button selection.
Laptop touchpads are a pain. Touchscreens are hard work . I think sometime in the early 80's Xerox Park came up with the ideal way for controlling a desktop computer. I doubt if the mouse and keyboard combination will be bettered as much as computer companies try to sell me on the latest and greatest.
First time i saw an iPad was when one of my cow-orkers got one. Everyone in the office was ecstatically giddy over how amazingly wonderful the thing was. It got to me by turn to play and he handed it to me. 10 seconds later i handed it back and said, "how would you ever type on this thing?" Great toy, but not much of a tool.
5 years later i finally own my own tablet. I still feel the same way, not much of a tool. Then again, probably well over 95% of my computer interaction is typing.